Markets Whale

Realistically speaking, picking the exact date and magnitude of market moves around big partnership announcements is nearly impossible. Slippage, unexpected volatility, and general market noise all add layers of unpredictability. But that said, surmising a partnership announcement in October or November definitely carried a decent probability—not just guesswork but grounded in solid public signals.

“Sure, captain hindsight! How would you possibly have known that?” The answer lies in a recent communication from OpenAI’s Sam Altman. Just two weeks ago, he published a blog post packed with clues that any keen options trader would drool over.

The TL;DR of Altman’s message is this: OpenAI needs a massive increase in compute power—think on the order of 121 jiggawatts—and they want to build a kind of “American Bald Eagle factory” capable of delivering one jiggawatt of new AI infrastructure every week. Most crucially, within the next two months, they intend to drop announcements about key partners helping bring this vision to life.

For an options trader, removing even one variable from a prediction significantly improves the odds. Here, Altman provided multiple major clues:

Timing: Partner announcements coming within two months

Industry focus: End-to-end AI infrastructure — from semiconductor chips to power supply, construction, and robotics

Geography: Many partners based in the United States

Given this, the logic flows: if OpenAI has such insatiable demand, it makes sense they’d engage with a backup partner like AMD in chips, which checks one major box. But the story doesn’t end there; power providers, construction firms, and robotics companies still need to be named to complete the ecosystem.

In sum, open intel like Altman’s blog can transform vague speculations into high-probability hypotheses. While precision in timing and magnitude remains elusive, defining the framework around major announcements significantly sharpens positioning for traders.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, nor does it constitute a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.